SCSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$54.35
-2.04 (-3.62%)
▼
5d:
+2.18%
30d:
+0.87%
90d:
+27.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When SCSC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.29
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $54.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.76 to $56.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.41, while resistance sits at $66.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCSC scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.41, while resistance sits at $66.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCSC scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.76 -
$56.78
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.76 -
$56.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.41
Resistance Level
$66.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.72
Wall Street Target
$54.67
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.92
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$58.32
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$61.94
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$124.41
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 11.9%)
$72.49
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 11.9%)
$60.63
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case
$78.48
(+44%)
Analyst growth 34.1%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$71.35
(+31%)
Market implied 34.1%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$36.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Baur
SELL
3827 shares
2026-03-16
Michael L Baur
SELL
21173 shares
2026-03-13
Top Rated Electronics & Computer Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electronics & Computer Distribution by analyst ratings.
