Scansource (SCSC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$61.73
-0.49 (-0.79%)
▼
5d:
+5.88%
30d:
+8.99%
90d:
+20.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SCSC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SCSC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.52
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $61.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.33 to $59.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCSC scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCSC scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.33 -
$59.19
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.33 -
$59.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.33
Resistance Level
$63.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.99
Wall Street Target
$60.50
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 10.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.46
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$75.92
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$84.20
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.00
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.9%)
$126.21
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 11.9%)
$86.54
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 11.9%)
$63.72
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.64
Bull Case
$82.98
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$75.43
(+22%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$42.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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