Scansource (SCSC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$59.81
-0.16 (-0.26%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.36%
30d:
+2.99%
90d:
+7.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCSC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCSC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.81
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $59.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.82 to $60.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCSC scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCSC scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$57.82 -
$60.93
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.82 -
$60.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.49
Resistance Level
$62.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.59
Wall Street Target
$64.50
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 10.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.36
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$71.24
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$77.65
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$122.87
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 11.9%)
$84.06
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 11.9%)
$64.96
(+8%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.64
Bull Case
$81.42
(+36%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$74.01
(+23%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$41.51
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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