Scansource (SCSC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$58.19
2.66 (4.79%)
▲
5d:
+0.57%
30d:
+11.95%
90d:
+17.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SCSC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SCSC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.58
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $58.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.11 to $57.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$53.11 -
$57.60
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.11 -
$57.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.00
Resistance Level
$59.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.19
Wall Street Target
$60.50
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 10.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.78
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$69.90
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$76.61
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.9%)
$124.78
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 11.9%)
$81.58
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 11.9%)
$61.87
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.55
Bull Case
$75.93
(+31%)
Analyst growth 24.3%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$69.03
(+19%)
Market implied 24.3%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$37.76
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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