SCSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$45.87
-2.21 (-4.60%)
▼
5d:
+1.01%
30d:
+11.15%
90d:
+20.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCSC trades at premium valuation expecting 4.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SCSC trades at premium valuation expecting 4.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.12
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $45.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.20 to $45.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.17, while resistance sits at $48.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCSC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.67 (+19.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.17, while resistance sits at $48.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCSC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.67 (+19.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$41.20 -
$45.59
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.20 -
$45.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.17
Resistance Level
$48.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.39
Wall Street Target
$54.67
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 9.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.07
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$50.38
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$52.80
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$135.55
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.9%)
$64.31
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 11.9%)
$54.66
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case
$67.92
(+48%)
Analyst growth 36.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$61.75
(+35%)
Market implied 36.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$30.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Baur
SELL
3827 shares
2026-03-16
Michael L Baur
SELL
21173 shares
2026-03-13
Charles Alexander Mathis
BUY
6000 shares
2026-02-11
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