SCSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$53.86
0.78 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
+4.81%
30d:
+10.23%
90d:
+41.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCSC trades at premium valuation expecting 9.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SCSC trades at premium valuation expecting 9.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.71
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $53.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.69 to $52.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.0% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCSC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCSC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.69 -
$52.12
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.67)
- BEARISH: Market expects 9.0% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.69 -
$52.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.12
Resistance Level
$54.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.20
Wall Street Target
$54.67
(+1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 9.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.71
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$63.99
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$69.75
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.9%)
$134.75
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 11.9%)
$75.51
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 11.9%)
$58.15
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case
$78.32
(+45%)
Analyst growth 34.1%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$71.20
(+32%)
Market implied 34.1%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$36.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Baur
SELL
3827 shares
2026-03-16
Michael L Baur
SELL
21173 shares
2026-03-13
Charles Alexander Mathis
BUY
6000 shares
2026-02-11
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