SCSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$57.13
0.51 (0.90%)
▲
5d:
+2.71%
30d:
+12.31%
90d:
+38.83%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCSC trades at premium valuation expecting 10.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SCSC trades at premium valuation expecting 10.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.00
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $57.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.75 to $55.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.4% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.44, while resistance sits at $58.94.
Market Sentiment: SCSC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.44, while resistance sits at $58.94.
Market Sentiment: SCSC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$51.75 -
$55.92
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.67)
- BEARISH: Market expects 10.4% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.75 -
$55.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.44
Resistance Level
$58.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.95
Wall Street Target
$54.67
(-4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 9.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.07
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$69.63
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$76.87
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.9%)
$128.25
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$80.09
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 11.9%)
$59.39
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case
$83.54
(+46%)
Analyst growth 34.1%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$75.95
(+33%)
Market implied 34.1%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$38.50
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Baur
SELL
3827 shares
2026-03-16
Michael L Baur
SELL
21173 shares
2026-03-13
Charles Alexander Mathis
BUY
6000 shares
2026-02-11
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