SCSC
Scansource Inc
WHOLESALE-COMPUTERS & PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT & SOFTWARE
Scansource (SCSC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$44.67
-0.02 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
-0.89%
30d:
-26.24%
90d:
-16.02%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect SCSC Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (92%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$50.26 – $63.00
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.1x
FAIR
vs 10.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$64.50
+44.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
8th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$40.21 / $60.15
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SCSC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.46
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $44.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.26 to $63.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.21, while resistance sits at $60.15.
Market Sentiment: SCSC scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.50 (+44.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.21, while resistance sits at $60.15.
Market Sentiment: SCSC scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.50 (+44.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$50.26 -
$63.00
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$50.26 -
$63.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.04
(6.8%)
Support Level
$40.21
Resistance Level
$60.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding SCSC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.3% below Wall St target ($64.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.13
Wall Street Target
$64.50
(+44.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.8%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.02
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$43.36
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$42.71
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$44.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$122.87
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$62.65
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.9%)
$53.25
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$69.57
(+56%)
Analyst growth 39.2%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$63.24
(+42%)
Market implied 39.2%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$30.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$46.78
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 11:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
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0
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