SDRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SDRL - Seadrill Limited
$39.77
-0.12 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
-6.18%
30d:
-22.97%
90d:
-10.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SDRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SDRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$128.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.70
50.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDRL is currently trading at $39.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.58 to $50.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SDRL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.43 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SDRL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.43 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.58 -
$50.66
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($56.43)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.58 -
$50.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.41
Resistance Level
$48.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.58
Wall Street Target
$56.43
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
-5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 19.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.79
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$32.21
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$28.99
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→19)
$48.05
(+21%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 245.8%)
$252.34
(+535%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 245.8%)
$134.22
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 245.8%)
$114.09
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$65.91
(+65.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+65.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SDRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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