SEG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SEG - Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
$26.87
-0.24 (-0.89%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.03%
30d:
+3.11%
90d:
+10.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SEG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -52.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SEG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -52.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.63
17.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SEG is currently trading at $26.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.98 to $27.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (164.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 52.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.00 (+34.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.00 (+34.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.98 -
$27.93
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($36.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.98 -
$27.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.11
Resistance Level
$29.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.91
Wall Street Target
$36.00
(+34.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.8%
Profit Margin
-100.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-52.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 164.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-52.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.18
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$21.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.59
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â164)
$179.55
(+568%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 164.2
Stabilization Target:
$246.30
(+816.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+816.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SEG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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