Seaport Entertainment Group (SEG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SEG - Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.

SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION
$25.44
-0.41 (-1.59%) ▼
5d: -2.49%
30d: -12.67%
90d: +4.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SEG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -51.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.63
22.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SEG is currently trading at $25.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.05 to $28.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (147.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 51.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SEG is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $25.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SEG scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.00 (+41.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $26.05 - $28.02
Company Quality Score 68/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($36.00)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.05 - $28.02
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.33
Resistance Level $27.17
Current Trend Support Break
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.96
Wall Street Target $36.00 (+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.8%
Profit Margin -100.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -51.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.0 vs 147.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -51.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.90 (-10%)
2-Year Target $20.61 (-19%)
3-Year Target $18.55 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→148) $161.62 (+535%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 147.8
Stabilization Target: $221.70 (+771.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +771.5%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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