SEG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SEG - Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.

SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION
$26.87
-0.24 (-0.89%) â–ŧ
5d: -3.03%
30d: +3.11%
90d: +10.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: SEG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -52.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.63
17.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SEG is currently trading at $26.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.98 to $27.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (164.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 52.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SEG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.00 (+34.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $25.98 - $27.93
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($36.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $25.98 - $27.93
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.11
Resistance Level $29.61
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.91
Wall Street Target $36.00 (+34.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.8%
Profit Margin -100.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -52.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.9 vs 164.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -52.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.18 (-10%)
2-Year Target $21.76 (-19%)
3-Year Target $19.59 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→164) $179.55 (+568%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 164.2
Stabilization Target: $246.30 (+816.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +816.6%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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