Seaport Entertainment Group (SEG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SEG - Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.

SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION
$22.47
-0.02 (-0.09%) ▼
5d: -0.58%
30d: -5.71%
90d: -13.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SEG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -50.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.63
31.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SEG is currently trading at $22.47, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.19 to $24.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (122.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 50.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SEG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: SEG scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.00 (+60.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $22.19 - $24.04
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 60.2% below Wall St target ($36.00)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.19 - $24.04
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.53
Resistance Level $22.90
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.98
Wall Street Target $36.00 (+60.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.8%
Profit Margin -100.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -50.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.0 vs 122.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -50.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.22 (-10%)
2-Year Target $18.20 (-19%)
3-Year Target $16.38 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→123) $134.28 (+498%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 122.8
Stabilization Target: $184.20 (+719.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +719.8%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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