SGHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGHC - Super Group (SGHC) Limited
$13.47
0.02 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
-1.36%
30d:
-0.33%
90d:
+22.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.07
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGHC is currently trading at $13.46, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.89 to $13.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.12 (+34.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.12 (+34.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$12.89 -
$13.72
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.8% below Wall St target ($18.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.89 -
$13.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.21
Resistance Level
$13.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.04
Wall Street Target
$18.13
(+34.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.1%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.64
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.83
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$14.02
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$29.37
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$20.28
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$17.24
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$27.77
(+106%)
Analyst growth 86.3%, PE expands to 31.1
Base Case
$25.24
(+88%)
Market implied 86.3%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$9.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kirsty Farrah Ross
SELL
47391 shares
2026-04-08
Martine Nathan
SELL
4761 shares
2026-04-08
Neal Menashe
SELL
78530 shares
2026-04-08
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