SGHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGHC - Super Group (SGHC) Limited
$13.31
0.09 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
-8.14%
90d:
-1.41%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.91
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGHC is currently trading at $13.31, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.07 to $14.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+46.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+46.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.07 -
$14.84
Company Quality Score
75/100
(STRONG BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (83/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.5% below Wall St target ($19.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 83/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.07 -
$14.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.74
Resistance Level
$13.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.05
Wall Street Target
$19.50
(+46.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.1%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.42
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.52
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$13.63
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.1%)
$27.76
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$20.82
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 16.1%)
$17.69
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$17.86
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.8%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$16.24
(+22%)
Market implied 22.8%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$8.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kirsty Farrah Ross
SELL
47391 shares
2026-04-08
Martine Nathan
SELL
4761 shares
2026-04-08
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SELL
78530 shares
2026-04-08
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