SLVM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLVM - Sylvamo Corporation
$34.52
-1.40 (-3.90%)
▼
5d:
-6.42%
30d:
-9.8%
90d:
-10.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SLVM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SLVM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.94
28.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLVM is currently trading at $34.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.32 to $39.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.25 (+48.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.25 (+48.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.32 -
$39.14
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 48.5% below Wall St target ($51.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.32 -
$39.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.25
Resistance Level
$38.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.79
Wall Street Target
$51.25
(+48.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 7.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.97
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$31.48
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$30.07
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$34.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 249.4%)
$344.84
(+899%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 249.4%)
$116.51
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 249.4%)
$99.03
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$79.02
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$71.84
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$24.43
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$39.65
(+14.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 2:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLVM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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