SLVM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLVM - Sylvamo Corporation
$39.56
1.09 (2.83%)
▲
5d:
-2.05%
30d:
+3.83%
90d:
+0.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SLVM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SLVM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.94
26.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLVM is currently trading at $39.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.80 to $40.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SLVM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+53.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SLVM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+53.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.80 -
$40.33
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.4% below Wall St target ($59.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.80 -
$40.33
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.02
Resistance Level
$40.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.90
Wall Street Target
$59.00
(+53.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.2%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.62
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$34.87
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$33.19
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$38.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 138.3%)
$409.93
(+966%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 138.3%)
$129.84
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 138.3%)
$110.36
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$85.91
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$78.10
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$26.55
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$44.61
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLVM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Davoli
SELL
3250 shares
2026-03-04
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