SLVM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLVM - Sylvamo Corporation
$38.60
-0.15 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
-1.23%
30d:
-8.4%
90d:
-17.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SLVM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SLVM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.62
29.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLVM is currently trading at $38.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.71 to $42.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.53, while resistance sits at $40.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+52.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.53, while resistance sits at $40.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+52.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$37.71 -
$42.76
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.8% below Wall St target ($59.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.71 -
$42.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.53
Resistance Level
$40.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.92
Wall Street Target
$59.00
(+52.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.2%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.67
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$34.84
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$33.09
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$38.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 138.3%)
$412.38
(+968%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 138.3%)
$130.28
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 138.3%)
$110.73
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$87.03
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$79.12
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$26.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$45.17
(+17.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 12:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLVM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Davoli
SELL
3250 shares
2026-03-04
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