Sylvamo (SLVM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLVM - Sylvamo Corporation
$32.48
-0.69 (-2.08%)
▼
5d:
-9.68%
30d:
-9.3%
90d:
-16.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SLVM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SLVM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.41
32.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLVM is currently trading at $32.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.29 to $36.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SLVM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.40 (+55.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SLVM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.40 (+55.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.29 -
$36.63
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.2% below Wall St target ($50.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.29 -
$36.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.58
Resistance Level
$37.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.25
Wall Street Target
$50.40
(+55.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 7.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.30
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$28.27
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$26.38
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$32.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 239.9%)
$358.02
(+1002%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 239.9%)
$109.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 239.9%)
$93.18
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$72.36
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$65.78
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$22.37
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 7.7
Stabilization Target:
$40.04
(+23.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLVM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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