SLVM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLVM - Sylvamo Corporation
$37.82
-1.47 (-3.73%)
▼
5d:
-2.34%
30d:
-9.1%
90d:
-11.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SLVM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SLVM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.27
29.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLVM is currently trading at $37.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.07 to $40.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: SLVM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+50.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: SLVM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.00 (+50.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.07 -
$40.29
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.2% below Wall St target ($59.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.07 -
$40.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.02
Resistance Level
$40.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.04
Wall Street Target
$59.00
(+50.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.2%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.79
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$36.35
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$34.97
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$39.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 138.3%)
$409.93
(+944%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 138.3%)
$132.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 138.3%)
$112.68
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$86.20
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$78.36
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$26.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$44.06
(+12.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLVM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Davoli
SELL
3250 shares
2026-03-04
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