SLVM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLVM - Sylvamo Corporation
$38.27
0.86 (2.30%)
▲
5d:
+1.49%
30d:
-0.7%
90d:
-12.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SLVM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SLVM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.17
22.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLVM is currently trading at $38.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.53 to $38.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.44, while resistance sits at $39.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.75 (+38.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.44, while resistance sits at $39.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.75 (+38.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.53 -
$38.95
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.3% below Wall St target ($51.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.53 -
$38.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.44
Resistance Level
$39.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.18
Wall Street Target
$51.75
(+38.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.2%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.33
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$35.27
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$34.25
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$37.23
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 156.4%)
$364.74
(+875%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 156.4%)
$126.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 156.4%)
$107.32
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$82.57
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$75.06
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$25.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$40.66
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLVM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Davoli
SELL
3250 shares
2026-03-04
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