SLVM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SLVM - Sylvamo Corporation
$36.79
0.07 (0.19%)
▲
5d:
-4.17%
30d:
-1.89%
90d:
-3.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SLVM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SLVM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.94
23.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SLVM is currently trading at $36.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.07 to $39.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SLVM scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.25 (+40.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SLVM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SLVM scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.25 (+40.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.07 -
$39.26
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.7% below Wall St target ($51.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.07 -
$39.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.05
Resistance Level
$41.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.17
Wall Street Target
$51.25
(+40.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.37
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$34.35
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$33.35
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$36.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 249.4%)
$345.01
(+847%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 249.4%)
$122.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 249.4%)
$104.51
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$84.46
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$76.78
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$26.11
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$39.65
(+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SLVM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Davoli
SELL
3250 shares
2026-03-04
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