SMWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMWB - Similarweb Ltd.
$5.16
0.19 (3.82%)
▲
5d:
+2.18%
30d:
+24.94%
90d:
+90.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SMWB is 7.7% above its trading range ($4.79). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SMWB is 7.7% above its trading range ($4.79). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.58
7.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $5.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.75 to $4.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.9) compared to its historical average (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.75 -
$4.79
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SMWB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($4.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.75 -
$4.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.80
Resistance Level
$4.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.93
Wall Street Target
$4.75
(-7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
-10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
21.9 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.36
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$5.57
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$5.79
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 66.1%)
$17.41
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 66.1%)
$17.30
(+235%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 66.1%)
$14.70
(+185%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SMWB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMWB price and gamma walls.
