SMWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMWB - Similarweb Ltd.
$4.31
-0.07 (-1.60%)
▼
5d:
+11.37%
30d:
+42.72%
90d:
+59.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SMWB is 7.5% above its trading range ($4.01). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SMWB is 7.5% above its trading range ($4.01). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.06
28.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $4.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.92 to $4.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.64, while resistance sits at $4.67.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.64, while resistance sits at $4.67.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.92 -
$4.01
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.92 -
$4.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.64
Resistance Level
$4.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.87
Wall Street Target
$4.25
(-1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
-10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 19.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.10
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$3.90
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$3.71
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$4.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 67.7%)
$18.89
(+338%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 67.7%)
$14.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 67.7%)
$12.36
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$5.01
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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