SMWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMWB - Similarweb Ltd.
$8.24
0.08 (0.98%)
â˛
5d:
-7.31%
30d:
+35.97%
90d:
+117.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SMWB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SMWB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $8.24, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.67 to $8.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.1) compared to its historical average (21.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.16, while resistance sits at $9.09.
Market Sentiment: SMWB scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.80 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.16, while resistance sits at $9.09.
Market Sentiment: SMWB scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.80 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$6.67 -
$8.27
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SMWB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($10.80)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.7% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.67 -
$8.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.15
(14.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.16
Resistance Level
$9.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.12
Wall Street Target
$10.80
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Profit Margin
-7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
26.1 vs 21.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.71
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$9.29
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$9.91
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â22)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.1, Growth: 47.6%)
$26.22
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 47.6%)
$20.15
(+147%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 47.6%)
$17.13
(+110%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SMWB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMWB price and gamma walls.
