SMWB
Similarweb Ltd.
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
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Similarweb (SMWB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.08
+0.26 (+3.32%)
▲
5d:
-8.29%
30d:
-7.02%
90d:
-10.32%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
4d
Protect SMWB Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (70%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.23 – $8.94
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.9x
FAIR
vs 22.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.83
+34.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$7.80 / $9.12
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SMWB is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.65
6.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $8.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.23 to $8.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.80, while resistance sits at $9.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMWB scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.83 (+34.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.80, while resistance sits at $9.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMWB scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.83 (+34.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.23 -
$8.94
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.23 -
$8.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.99
(12.2%)
Support Level
$7.80
Resistance Level
$9.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding SMWB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($10.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.3%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.86
Wall Street Target
$10.83
(+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Profit Margin
-7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 22.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.42
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$8.77
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$9.14
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.9, Growth: 47.6%)
$25.96
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 47.6%)
$19.94
(+147%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 47.6%)
$16.95
(+110%)
Share SMWB Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SMWB)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
CEO of $SMWB purchased a large number of shares, boosting bullish sentiment on StockTwits with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO buy
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SMWB Option Strategies
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Part A: Deep-Dive SMWB Research Pages
