Similarweb (SMWB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMWB - Similarweb Ltd.
$8.07
-0.03 (-0.37%)
âŧ
5d:
-9.22%
30d:
-8.19%
90d:
+90.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When SMWB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SMWB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SMWB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.27
2.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $8.07, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.78 to $9.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.8) compared to its historical average (21.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SMWB scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.80 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SMWB scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.80 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.78 -
$9.03
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SMWB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($10.80)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.78 -
$9.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.13
(14.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.89
Resistance Level
$9.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.83
Wall Street Target
$10.80
(+33.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Profit Margin
-7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 21.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.52
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$9.00
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$9.50
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â22)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 47.6%)
$25.93
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 47.6%)
$20.25
(+151%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 47.6%)
$17.21
(+113%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:37 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$141 | 49 HOLD |
|
HUBS
HubSpot Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$243 | 45 HOLD |
|
SHOP
Shopify Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$171 | 52 HOLD |
|
ADSK
Autodesk Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$315 | 50 HOLD |
|
GRAB
Grab Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$6 | 41 HOLD |
Advanced SMWB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMWB price and gamma walls.
