SMWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMWB - Similarweb Ltd.
$4.97
-0.16 (-3.12%)
▼
5d:
-5.33%
30d:
+31.48%
90d:
+84.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SMWB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SMWB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.58
10.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $4.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.75 to $4.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.75 -
$4.79
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SMWB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.75 -
$4.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.80
Resistance Level
$4.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.12
Wall Street Target
$4.75
(-4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
-10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.10
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$5.23
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$5.37
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 66.1%)
$17.30
(+248%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.1, Growth: 66.1%)
$16.77
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 66.1%)
$14.26
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SMWB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMWB price and gamma walls.
