Similarweb (SMWB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMWB - Similarweb Ltd.
$7.96
-0.20 (-2.45%)
▼
5d:
+5.01%
30d:
-9.13%
90d:
+27.16%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SMWB is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SMWB is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.39
5.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $7.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.90 to $8.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.5) compared to its historical average (22.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.28, while resistance sits at $8.64.
Market Sentiment: SMWB scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.83 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.28, while resistance sits at $8.64.
Market Sentiment: SMWB scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.83 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.90 -
$8.90
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
6th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SMWB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 6th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($10.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.90 -
$8.90
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.05
(13.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.28
Resistance Level
$8.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.48
Wall Street Target
$10.83
(+36.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Profit Margin
-7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 22.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.33
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$8.71
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$9.11
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.5, Growth: 47.6%)
$25.58
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 47.6%)
$20.48
(+157%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 47.6%)
$17.41
(+119%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SMWB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMWB price and gamma walls.
