STNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STNE - StoneCo Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$11.15
-0.06 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+1.83%
30d:
+5.19%
90d:
-20.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STNE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STNE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.15
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.62
28.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STNE is currently trading at $11.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.63 to $11.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.9) compared to its historical average (1.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 273.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.36, while resistance sits at $11.85.
Market Sentiment: STNE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.09 (+53.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.36, while resistance sits at $11.85.
Market Sentiment: STNE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.09 (+53.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.63 -
$11.09
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.2% below Wall St target ($17.09)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.63 -
$11.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.36
Resistance Level
$11.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.90
Wall Street Target
$17.09
(+53.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
273.8%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.9 vs 1.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.24
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$9.40
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$8.63
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$11.50
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.4%)
$447.70
(+3915%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.9, Growth: 18.4%)
$18.50
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.8, Growth: 18.4%)
$15.72
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (4x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 4.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.67
Bull Case
$24.66
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 4.6
Base Case
$22.42
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 4.2
Bear Case
$7.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.9 to 1.2
Stabilization Target:
$14.87
(+33.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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