STNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STNE - StoneCo Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$10.72
-0.02 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
-2.46%
30d:
-3.42%
90d:
-23.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STNE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STNE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.68
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.94
32.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STNE is currently trading at $10.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.42 to $11.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.8) compared to its historical average (1.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 273.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.36, while resistance sits at $11.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.25 (+60.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.36, while resistance sits at $11.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.25 (+60.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.42 -
$11.31
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.9% below Wall St target ($17.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.42 -
$11.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.36
Resistance Level
$11.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.85
Wall Street Target
$17.25
(+60.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
273.8%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.9 vs 1.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.65
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.81
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$11.02
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.6%)
$457.95
(+4172%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.9, Growth: 18.6%)
$17.89
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.7, Growth: 18.6%)
$15.21
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (4x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 3.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.71
Bull Case
$23.30
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 4.3
Base Case
$21.18
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 3.9
Bear Case
$7.20
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.9 to 1.2
Stabilization Target:
$15.12
(+41.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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