STNE
StoneCo Ltd. Class A Common Shares
Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
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STNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.85
+0.18 (+2.35%)
▲
5d:
+2.08%
30d:
-33.53%
90d:
-23.26%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
0d
Protect STNE Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
69/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$7.91 – $11.81
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
0.7x
CHEAP
vs 1.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.81
+63.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$7.28 / $8.20
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: STNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $7.75 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.39
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.42
31.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STNE is currently trading at $7.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.91 to $11.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.7) compared to its historical average (1.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STNE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.28, while resistance sits at $8.20.
Market Sentiment: STNE scores 97/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.81 (+63.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STNE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.28, while resistance sits at $8.20.
Market Sentiment: STNE scores 97/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.81 (+63.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.91 -
$11.81
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.91 -
$11.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$7.28
Resistance Level
$8.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding STNE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (97/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.2% below Wall St target ($12.81)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.69
Wall Street Target
$12.81
(+63.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.6%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.7 vs 1.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.36
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.72
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$9.18
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.8%)
$317.38
(+3943%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$10.96
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.6, Growth: 11.8%)
$9.31
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 3.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$16.87
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 3.3
Base Case
$15.34
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 3.0
Bear Case
$5.22
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.7 to 1.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.59
(+60.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (STNE)
Bearish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages express bullish sentiment towards $STNE, with some traders suggesting potential huge gains from options trading following an alleged reversal. No recent news articles are available for analysis.
Key Retail Themes:
StockTwits messages indicate potential bullish reversal for $STNE
Options trading is a popular catalyst for potential gains
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STNE price and gamma walls.
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