SUI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUI - Sun Communities, Inc
$125.08
1.60 (1.29%)
▲
5d:
+2.99%
30d:
+1.17%
90d:
-1.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SUI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.29
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUI is currently trading at $125.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.77 to $123.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 44.8) is in line with its historical norms (45.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $128.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SUI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.21 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $128.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SUI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.21 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$118.77 -
$123.04
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($140.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.77 -
$123.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$118.86
Resistance Level
$128.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.80
Wall Street Target
$140.21
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.1%
Profit Margin
-37.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.8 vs 45.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.99
(0%)
2-Year Target
$122.49
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$122.00
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→45)
$123.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$198.34
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.1%)
$91.79
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 17.1%)
$78.02
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 54.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.27
Bull Case
$149.10
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 57.1
Base Case
$123.48
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 54.4
Bear Case
$94.46
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 48.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.8 to 45.4
Stabilization Target:
$125.15
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Clunet R Lewis
SELL
3800 shares
2026-03-05
Clunet R Lewis
SELL
3200 shares
2026-03-05
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