Sun Communities (SUI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUI - Sun Communities, Inc
$114.48
-0.45 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
-4.48%
30d:
-3.26%
90d:
-9.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SUI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SUI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUI is currently trading at $114.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.93 to $123.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.6) compared to its historical average (44.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $113.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SUI scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.00 (+21.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $113.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SUI scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.00 (+21.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$117.93 -
$123.29
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($139.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$117.93 -
$123.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.80
Resistance Level
$124.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.62
Wall Street Target
$139.00
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.1%
Profit Margin
-37.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.6 vs 44.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.15
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$100.30
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$93.88
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→45)
$114.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.6, Growth: 33.9%)
$275.01
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 33.9%)
$151.46
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 33.9%)
$128.74
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 34.48 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.32
Bull Case
$138.23
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$114.48
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$87.58
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.6 to 44.7
Stabilization Target:
$139.73
(+22.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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