SUI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUI - Sun Communities, Inc
$121.66
-0.63 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
-1.32%
30d:
+1.38%
90d:
-3.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUI is currently trading at $121.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.20 to $123.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.0) is in line with its historical norms (45.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $117.74, while resistance sits at $125.55.
Market Sentiment: SUI scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.42 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $117.74, while resistance sits at $125.55.
Market Sentiment: SUI scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.42 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$119.20 -
$123.26
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($139.42)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$119.20 -
$123.26
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.74
Resistance Level
$125.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.99
Wall Street Target
$139.42
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.1%
Profit Margin
-37.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.0 vs 45.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.89
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$114.23
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$110.69
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→45)
$121.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.0, Growth: 31.7%)
$277.88
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 31.7%)
$136.07
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 31.7%)
$115.66
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (52x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (41x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 51.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.35
Bull Case
$146.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 54.4
Base Case
$121.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 51.8
Bear Case
$93.07
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 46.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.0 to 45.1
Stabilization Target:
$133.87
(+10.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Clunet R Lewis
SELL
3800 shares
2026-03-05
Clunet R Lewis
SELL
3200 shares
2026-03-05
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