Sun Communities (SUI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUI - Sun Communities, Inc
$110.72
0.72 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
-1.38%
30d:
-8.68%
90d:
-9.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SUI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUI is currently trading at $110.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.62 to $122.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.3) compared to its historical average (44.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $109.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.68 (+26.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $109.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.68 (+26.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$113.62 -
$122.33
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($138.68)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$113.62 -
$122.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.77
Resistance Level
$115.16
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.33
Wall Street Target
$138.68
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.1%
Profit Margin
-37.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.3 vs 44.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.20
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$93.10
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$85.66
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→44)
$109.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.3, Growth: 37.3%)
$284.69
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 37.3%)
$169.19
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 37.3%)
$143.81
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 33.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.26
Bull Case
$132.82
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$110.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$84.15
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.3 to 44.0
Stabilization Target:
$141.00
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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