SUI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUI - Sun Communities, Inc
$120.80
1.92 (1.62%)
▲
5d:
-1.13%
30d:
-4.61%
90d:
-6.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SUI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SUI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.29
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUI is currently trading at $120.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.25 to $124.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 43.8) is in line with its historical norms (45.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $119.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.32 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $119.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.32 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$119.25 -
$124.35
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($141.32)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$119.25 -
$124.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.90
Resistance Level
$126.38
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.82
Wall Street Target
$141.32
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.1%
Profit Margin
59.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
43.8 vs 45.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.35
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$117.92
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$116.50
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→46)
$120.96
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$194.04
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$96.44
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.1%)
$81.97
(-32%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 43.8 to 45.5
Stabilization Target:
$125.42
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Clunet R Lewis
SELL
3800 shares
2026-03-05
Clunet R Lewis
SELL
3200 shares
2026-03-05
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