SUPV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.
$7.90
0.25 (3.27%)
▲
5d:
-1.86%
30d:
-18.3%
90d:
-5.5%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUPV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SUPV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.69
46.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $7.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.24 to $9.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.54, while resistance sits at $9.36. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUPV scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.92 (+68.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.54, while resistance sits at $9.36. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUPV scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.92 (+68.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.24 -
$9.84
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.9% below Wall St target ($12.92)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.24 -
$9.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.54
Resistance Level
$9.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.23
Wall Street Target
$12.92
(+68.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
-11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 9.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.89
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.58
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→10)
$8.86
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 102.3%)
$83.11
(+986%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 102.3%)
$25.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 102.3%)
$21.95
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$12.15
(+58.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+58.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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