SUPV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.
$9.46
-0.59 (-5.87%)
▼
5d:
-0.63%
30d:
+2.27%
90d:
+14.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SUPV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SUPV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.62
35.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $9.46, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.41 to $9.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.89 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.89 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.41 -
$9.93
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.3% below Wall St target ($12.89)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.41 -
$9.93
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.26
Resistance Level
$10.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.90
Wall Street Target
$12.89
(+36.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.3%
Profit Margin
-10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 10.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.73
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$8.06
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$7.44
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$9.51
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 128.5%)
$83.75
(+785%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 128.5%)
$31.93
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 128.5%)
$27.14
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.09
(+27.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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