SUPV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.

Commercial Banks, NEC
$10.32
-1.06 (-9.31%) ▼
5d: -6.18%
30d: +32.48%
90d: +27.25%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUPV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.93
39.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $10.32, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.22 to $10.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: SUPV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.73 (+23.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $8.22 - $10.68
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($12.73)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.22 - $10.68
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.33
Resistance Level $10.10
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.74
Wall Street Target $12.73 (+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -42.3%
Profit Margin -10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.7 vs 10.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.31 (-10%)
2-Year Target $8.40 (-19%)
3-Year Target $7.57 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→11) $10.28 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 76.5%) $98.04 (+850%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 76.5%) $34.83 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.6, Growth: 76.5%) $29.61 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 10.5
Stabilization Target: $14.00 (+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +35.7%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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