Grupo Supervielle (SUPV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.
$8.50
-0.23 (-2.63%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.19%
30d:
+2.66%
90d:
-21.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SUPV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SUPV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.39
40.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $8.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.08 to $8.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.16, while resistance sits at $9.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.36 (+45.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.16, while resistance sits at $9.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.36 (+45.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.08 -
$8.94
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.4% below Wall St target ($12.36)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.08 -
$8.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.16
Resistance Level
$9.08
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.93
Wall Street Target
$12.36
(+45.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
-11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 9.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.65
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.89
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.20
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â10)
$8.68
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 102.3%)
$83.53
(+883%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 102.3%)
$28.69
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 102.3%)
$24.38
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$11.90
(+40.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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