Grupo Supervielle (SUPV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$5.72
-0.10 (-1.72%)
▼
5d:
-4.35%
30d:
-19.09%
90d:
-30.92%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$6.17 – $7.40
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.5x
CHEAP
vs 9.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$11.80
+106.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$5.45 / $7.01
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SUPV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.75
58.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $5.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.17 to $7.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $7.01.
Market Sentiment: SUPV scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.80 (+106.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $7.01.
Market Sentiment: SUPV scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.80 (+106.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.17 -
$7.40
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$6.17 -
$7.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$5.45
Resistance Level
$7.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 106.3% below Wall St target ($11.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.53
Wall Street Target
$11.80
(+106.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
-11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.15
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.63
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.17
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→9)
$8.29
(+45%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 140.3%)
$84.68
(+1381%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 140.3%)
$19.30
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 140.3%)
$16.41
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$11.37
(+98.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+98.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SUPV)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
One bearish trader on StockTwits shared a successful long-term holding experience with $SUPV, selling in October 2024 after a 560% gain. No recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Long-term holding
Profit-taking
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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