SUPV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.
$9.87
0.59 (6.36%)
▲
5d:
+3.35%
30d:
+0.51%
90d:
+2.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUPV trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUPV trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.56
40.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $9.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.32 to $10.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.06 (+32.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.06 (+32.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.32 -
$10.70
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.3% below Wall St target ($13.06)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.32 -
$10.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.33
Resistance Level
$10.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.35
Wall Street Target
$13.06
(+32.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.3%
Profit Margin
-10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 10.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.88
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.99
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.20
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$9.98
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 102.1%)
$98.71
(+900%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 102.1%)
$33.31
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 102.1%)
$28.31
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$13.70
(+38.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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