Grupo Supervielle (SUPV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.
$7.37
0.22 (3.08%)
▲
5d:
+5.14%
30d:
-6.94%
90d:
-23.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUPV trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -14.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUPV trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -14.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.05
47.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $7.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.94 to $7.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUPV scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.80 (+60.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUPV scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.80 (+60.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$6.94 -
$7.93
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 60.1% below Wall St target ($11.80)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.94 -
$7.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.82
Resistance Level
$7.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.83
Wall Street Target
$11.80
(+60.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
-11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 9.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.63
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.97
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.37
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$8.47
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 97.7%)
$84.68
(+1049%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 97.7%)
$24.87
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 97.7%)
$21.14
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$11.62
(+57.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+57.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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