TDW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDW - Tidewater, Inc.
$95.25
-1.24 (-1.29%)
▼
5d:
+1.03%
30d:
+23.0%
90d:
+17.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TDW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TDW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.56
6.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $95.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.38 to $91.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $97.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TDW scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $97.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TDW scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$74.38 -
$91.11
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($90.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.38 -
$91.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.30
Resistance Level
$97.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.10
Wall Street Target
$90.86
(-4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
531.0%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.35
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$103.62
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$108.07
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$95.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 110.2%)
$400.64
(+321%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 110.2%)
$321.47
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 110.2%)
$273.25
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.03
Bull Case
$124.81
(+31%)
Analyst growth 17.6%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$113.46
(+19%)
Market implied 17.6%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$65.61
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
5195 shares
2026-03-05
Samuel R Rubio
SELL
22461 shares
2026-03-05
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