TDW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDW - Tidewater, Inc.
$74.35
0.98 (1.34%)
▲
5d:
+9.03%
30d:
+1.24%
90d:
-13.65%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TDW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.3% annual earnings decline despite 531% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TDW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.3% annual earnings decline despite 531% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$175.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.06
31.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $74.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.77 to $74.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 531.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.56, while resistance sits at $77.00.
Market Sentiment: TDW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.57 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.56, while resistance sits at $77.00.
Market Sentiment: TDW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.57 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$66.77 -
$74.23
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($86.57)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.77 -
$74.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.56
Resistance Level
$77.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$86.57
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
531.0%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.67
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$65.28
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$61.16
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$74.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 86.1%)
$460.41
(+519%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 86.1%)
$250.93
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 86.1%)
$213.29
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.93
Bull Case
$85.24
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.6%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$77.50
(+4%)
Market implied 5.6%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$49.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$90.19
(+21.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
5195 shares
2026-03-05
Samuel R Rubio
SELL
22461 shares
2026-03-05
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-23
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