Tidewater (TDW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDW - Tidewater, Inc.
$82.42
0.24 (0.29%)
▲
5d:
-2.74%
30d:
-18.08%
90d:
+20.87%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$167.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.00
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $82.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.55 to $94.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.81, while resistance sits at $88.38.
Market Sentiment: TDW scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.88 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.81, while resistance sits at $88.38.
Market Sentiment: TDW scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.88 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$84.55 -
$94.19
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($94.88)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 27% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.55 -
$94.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.81
Resistance Level
$88.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.66
Wall Street Target
$94.88
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.5%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.95
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$79.73
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$78.54
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$82.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 115.9%)
$414.11
(+404%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 115.9%)
$277.36
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 115.9%)
$235.75
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.93
Bull Case
$108.84
(+32%)
Analyst growth 22.0%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$98.94
(+20%)
Market implied 22.0%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$55.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$86.01
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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