Tidewater (TDW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDW - Tidewater, Inc.
$79.61
-1.71 (-2.10%)
▼
5d:
+0.54%
30d:
-7.33%
90d:
+1.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$167.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.00
23.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $79.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.02 to $87.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $75.77, while resistance sits at $88.83.
Market Sentiment: TDW scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.88 (+19.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $75.77, while resistance sits at $88.83.
Market Sentiment: TDW scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.88 (+19.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$81.02 -
$87.26
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($94.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.02 -
$87.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.77
Resistance Level
$88.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.24
Wall Street Target
$94.88
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.5%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.62
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$75.68
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$73.79
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$79.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 115.9%)
$403.15
(+406%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 115.9%)
$268.68
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 115.9%)
$228.38
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.91
Bull Case
$109.58
(+38%)
Analyst growth 22.5%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$99.62
(+25%)
Market implied 22.5%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$55.30
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$86.01
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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