TDW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDW - Tidewater, Inc.
$75.06
1.58 (2.15%)
▲
5d:
-4.43%
30d:
+11.98%
90d:
-15.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$173.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.54
30.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $75.06, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.86 to $76.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 531.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.13, while resistance sits at $79.61.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.57 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.13, while resistance sits at $79.61.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.57 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$68.86 -
$76.81
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($86.57)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.86 -
$76.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.13
Resistance Level
$79.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.98
Wall Street Target
$86.57
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
531.0%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.93
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$67.03
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$63.34
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$75.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 86.1%)
$438.21
(+484%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 86.1%)
$253.33
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 86.1%)
$215.33
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.97
Bull Case
$84.80
(+13%)
Analyst growth 4.9%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$77.09
(+3%)
Market implied 4.9%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$49.97
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$88.94
(+18.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
5195 shares
2026-03-05
Samuel R Rubio
SELL
22461 shares
2026-03-05
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-23
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