TDW
Tidewater, Inc.
WATER TRANSPORTATION
Tidewater (TDW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$78.91
+4.93 (+6.66%)
â˛
5d:
+7.3%
30d:
-9.27%
90d:
-13.78%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$75.67 â $86.09
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.2x
CHEAP
vs 14.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$96.75
+22.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$68.52 / $87.49
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TDW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.33
29.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $78.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.67 to $86.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.52, while resistance sits at $87.49. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.75 (+22.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.52, while resistance sits at $87.49. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.75 (+22.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$75.67 -
$86.09
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$75.67 -
$86.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$68.52
Resistance Level
$87.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($96.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.17
Wall Street Target
$96.75
(+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.5%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.96
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$71.22
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$67.66
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â14)
$78.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 110.5%)
$434.59
(+451%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 110.5%)
$266.32
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 110.5%)
$226.37
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.28
Bull Case
$99.93
(+27%)
Analyst growth 22.8%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$90.85
(+15%)
Market implied 22.8%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$50.31
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$92.07
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TDW)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A single bullish message on StockTwits announces a new position in $TDW.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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