TDW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDW - Tidewater, Inc.
$66.40
0.05 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
-10.69%
30d:
-18.23%
90d:
-11.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$180.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.16
40.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $66.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.50 to $81.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 531.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TDW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.57 (+30.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TDW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.57 (+30.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$71.50 -
$81.60
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($86.57)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.50 -
$81.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.56
Resistance Level
$77.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.59
Wall Street Target
$86.57
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
531.0%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 14.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.71
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$53.74
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$48.37
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$67.62
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 78.5%)
$460.70
(+594%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 78.5%)
$223.93
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 78.5%)
$190.34
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.93
Bull Case
$75.18
(+13%)
Analyst growth 5.7%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$68.35
(+3%)
Market implied 5.7%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$43.98
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$92.76
(+39.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
5195 shares
2026-03-05
Samuel R Rubio
SELL
22461 shares
2026-03-05
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-23
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