TGTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TGTX - TG Therapeutics, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$46.17
-5.86 (-11.26%) β–Ό
5d: -17.18%
30d: -13.39%
90d: +36.4%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TGTX is down 17.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.68
26.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TGTX is currently trading at $46.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.43 to $57.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 300% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TGTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.43 (+48.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $52.43 - $57.05
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 48.2% below Wall St target ($68.43)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $52.43 - $57.05
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.82
Resistance Level $57.58
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.07
Wall Street Target $68.43 (+48.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 69.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 300.0%
Profit Margin 66.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.1 vs 15.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.46 (-4%)
2-Year Target $42.82 (-7%)
3-Year Target $41.23 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14β†’16) $46.30 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 108.7%) $229.56 (+397%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 108.7%) $155.82 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.0, Growth: 108.7%) $132.45 (+187%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case $65.66 (+42%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case $59.69 (+29%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case $35.38 (-23%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 15.8
Stabilization Target: $51.84 (+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.3%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 8:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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