TGTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TGTX - TG Therapeutics, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$46.47
-5.56 (-10.69%) β–Ό
5d: -16.65%
30d: -12.83%
90d: +37.28%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TGTX is down 16.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.68
25.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TGTX is currently trading at $46.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.41 to $57.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TGTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.43 (+31.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $52.41 - $57.06
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 31.5% below Wall St target ($68.43)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $52.41 - $57.06
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.91
Resistance Level $57.58
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.86
Wall Street Target $68.43 (+31.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 69.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 300.0%
Profit Margin 66.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium
PE vs Historical 15.9 vs 15.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $52.13 (+0%)
2-Year Target $52.24 (+0%)
3-Year Target $52.34 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16β†’16) PE COMPRESSION $52.15 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 108.7%) $229.56 (+341%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 108.7%) $175.60 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 13.5, Growth: 108.7%) $149.26 (+187%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case $67.55 (+30%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case $61.41 (+18%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case $36.40 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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