TLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TLX - Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited American Depositary Shares

Pharmaceutical Preparations
$9.89
-0.17 (-1.69%) ▼
5d: -3.23%
30d: -16.47%
90d: -10.09%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 02, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.84
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TLX is currently trading at $9.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.27 to $11.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 38.1) compared to its historical average (27.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TLX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.01 (+112.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $10.27 - $11.55
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 112.4% below Wall St target ($21.01)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.1% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.27 - $11.55
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.79
Resistance Level $10.92
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 38.14
Wall Street Target $21.01 (+112.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.3%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +12.1% premium
PE vs Historical 38.1 vs 27.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +12.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.09 (+12%)
2-Year Target $12.43 (+26%)
3-Year Target $13.93 (+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 38→27) PE COMPRESSION $9.90 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 38.1, Growth: 260.1%) $33.38 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 260.1%) $18.14 (+83%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 260.1%) $15.42 (+56%)
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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NEUTRAL

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