TLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TLX - Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited American Depositary Shares

Pharmaceutical Preparations
$10.23
0.22 (2.25%) ▲
5d: +7.18%
30d: -0.44%
90d: +11.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.09
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TLX is currently trading at $10.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.27 to $10.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.0) compared to its historical average (25.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TLX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TLX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.69 (+106.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $9.27 - $10.11
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 106.9% below Wall St target ($20.69)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.27 - $10.11
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.23
Resistance Level $10.47
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.96
Wall Street Target $20.69 (+106.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.3%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.5% premium
PE vs Historical 30.0 vs 25.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.55 (+6%)
2-Year Target $11.13 (+11%)
3-Year Target $11.74 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→26) PE COMPRESSION $10.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.0, Growth: 153.8%) $33.75 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 153.8%) $24.54 (+145%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 153.8%) $20.86 (+109%)
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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