TMCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TMCI - Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. Common Stock

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$4.34
-0.12 (-2.69%) â–ŧ
5d: -9.39%
30d: +7.16%
90d: +52.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: TMCI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TMCI is currently trading at $4.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.15 to $4.67.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TMCI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TMCI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.50 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $4.15 - $4.67
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($5.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.15 - $4.67
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$0.63 (14.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.28
Resistance Level $4.90
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -5.11
Wall Street Target $5.50 (+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.2%
Profit Margin -29.0%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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