Treace Medical Concepts (TMCI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TMCI - Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. Common Stock

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$4.51
0.16 (3.68%) ▲
5d: -7.58%
30d: -5.05%
90d: +15.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TMCI shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TMCI is currently trading at $4.51, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.46 to $4.77.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TMCI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.31, while resistance sits at $4.93. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: TMCI scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.50 (+22.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $4.46 - $4.77
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($5.50)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.6%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.46 - $4.77
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.64 (14.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.31
Resistance Level $4.93
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -5.31
Wall Street Target $5.50 (+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.2%
Profit Margin -29.0%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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