TS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$56.78
-0.55 (-0.96%)
▼
5d:
+0.66%
30d:
+4.9%
90d:
-10.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.60
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $56.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.94 to $57.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $55.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.29 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $55.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.29 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$54.94 -
$57.49
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.29)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.94 -
$57.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.18
Resistance Level
$58.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.10
Wall Street Target
$64.29
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.58
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$55.85
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$55.12
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$57.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.9%)
$100.14
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 5.9%)
$68.09
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 5.9%)
$57.88
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$65.75
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.4%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$59.78
(+4%)
Market implied 5.4%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$38.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$59.38
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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