UDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$38.16
-0.14 (-0.37%)
▼
5d:
-3.61%
30d:
-6.06%
90d:
+5.01%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UDR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UDR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.97
Based on -17.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $38.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.77 to $40.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 68.1) is in line with its historical norms (66.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.77 -
$40.47
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.77 -
$40.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.64
Resistance Level
$40.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
68.14
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.9%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
68.1 vs 66.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.43
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$38.70
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$38.97
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 68→67)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 68.1, Growth: -38.6%)
$27.82
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -38.6%)
$8.46
(-78%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -38.6%)
$7.19
(-81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
Bull Case
$21.07
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 27.7
Base Case
$19.15
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case
$26.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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