UDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$37.77
0.08 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
-0.45%
30d:
-4.33%
90d:
+0.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UDR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UDR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.03
Based on -20.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $37.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.67 to $39.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 67.3) is in line with its historical norms (66.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UDR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.07 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UDR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.07 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$37.67 -
$39.66
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 77/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.67 -
$39.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.04
Resistance Level
$38.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
67.30
Wall Street Target
$42.07
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.9%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
67.3 vs 66.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.80
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$37.92
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$38.03
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 67→67)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 67.3, Growth: -44.3%)
$27.48
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -44.3%)
$8.19
(-78%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -44.3%)
$6.96
(-82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$20.63
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$18.75
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$25.51
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 2:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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