UDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$39.73
0.04 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
-3.31%
30d:
+0.91%
90d:
+13.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
13d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.69
Based on -15.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $39.73, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.89 to $40.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 71.0) is in line with its historical norms (66.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$37.89 -
$40.28
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.89 -
$40.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.41
Resistance Level
$39.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
70.95
Wall Street Target
$40.62
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
151.6%
Profit Margin
27.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
71.0 vs 66.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.64
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$41.58
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$42.53
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 71→66)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 70.9, Growth: -34.7%)
$28.96
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -34.7%)
$8.89
(-78%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -34.7%)
$7.56
(-81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.46
Bull Case
$21.83
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case
$19.84
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$26.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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