UTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTI - Universal Technical Institute, Inc.
$39.31
-0.75 (-1.87%)
▼
5d:
+4.05%
30d:
-16.4%
90d:
+4.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UTI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UTI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.90
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTI is currently trading at $39.31, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.03 to $47.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.1) compared to its historical average (40.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.89, while resistance sits at $41.61.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.67 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.89, while resistance sits at $41.61.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.67 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$38.03 -
$47.13
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
55th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 55th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($43.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 6.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.03 -
$47.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.82
(12.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.89
Resistance Level
$41.61
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.15
Wall Street Target
$43.67
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.3%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
46.2 vs 40.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.24
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$43.26
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$45.38
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→40)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.33
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.2, Growth: 10.1%)
$52.52
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.1%)
$23.59
(-40%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 10.1%)
$20.05
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 54.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$50.72
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.1%, PE expands to 59.6
Base Case
$46.11
(+17%)
Market implied 15.1%, PE stable at 54.1
Bear Case
$27.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
George W Brochick
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-17
Shannon Lei Okinaka
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-06
Todd A Hitchcock
SELL
16500 shares
2026-03-04
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Advanced UTI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UTI price and gamma walls.
