VAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$78.49
-1.08 (-1.36%)
▼
5d:
+5.23%
30d:
-12.58%
90d:
-20.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.98
38.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $78.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.20 to $85.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 446.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VAL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.27. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VAL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.27. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$74.20 -
$85.71
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.3% above Wall St target ($67.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.20 -
$85.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.48
Resistance Level
$95.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.84
Wall Street Target
$67.27
(-14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.6%
Profit Margin
45.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.19
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$64.57
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$58.56
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$78.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 108.9%)
$532.36
(+578%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 108.9%)
$264.90
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 108.9%)
$225.17
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.15
Bull Case
$44.80
(-43%)
Analyst growth -48.8%, PE expands to 6.2
Base Case
$40.73
(-48%)
Market implied -48.8%, PE stable at 5.6
Bear Case
$54.11
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$105.01
(+33.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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