VAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$87.76
-1.24 (-1.39%)
▼
5d:
+2.5%
30d:
+10.88%
90d:
-13.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$193.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.34
27.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $87.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.77 to $84.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.00, while resistance sits at $91.22.
Market Sentiment: VAL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $69.05. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.00, while resistance sits at $91.22.
Market Sentiment: VAL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $69.05. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$75.77 -
$84.63
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 21.3% above Wall St target ($69.05)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.77 -
$84.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.00
Resistance Level
$91.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.35
Wall Street Target
$69.05
(-21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.3%
Profit Margin
44.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.16
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$80.71
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$77.40
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$87.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 120.8%)
$481.52
(+449%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 120.8%)
$296.19
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 120.8%)
$251.76
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.58
Bull Case
$51.25
(-42%)
Analyst growth -47.7%, PE expands to 7.2
Base Case
$46.59
(-47%)
Market implied -47.7%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case
$60.52
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$99.52
(+13.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 9:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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