Valaris (VAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$83.73
-1.98 (-2.31%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.7%
30d:
-1.74%
90d:
-6.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.77
28.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $83.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.16 to $88.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VAL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.43. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VAL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.43. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$81.16 -
$88.74
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 19.5% above Wall St target ($67.43)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.16 -
$88.74
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.13
Resistance Level
$93.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.95
Wall Street Target
$67.43
(-19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.3%
Profit Margin
44.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.63
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$75.73
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$72.01
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â14)
$83.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 116.4%)
$477.01
(+470%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 116.4%)
$282.59
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 116.4%)
$240.20
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.38
Bull Case
$49.38
(-41%)
Analyst growth -47.6%, PE expands to 7.1
Base Case
$44.89
(-46%)
Market implied -47.6%, PE stable at 6.4
Bear Case
$58.28
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$97.40
(+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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