VAL
Valaris Limited
DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS
Valaris (VAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$80.61
-0.08 (-0.10%)
▼
5d:
+4.26%
30d:
-4.86%
90d:
-5.85%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (70%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$80.10 – $95.60
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.1x
CHEAP
vs 13.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$69.71
-13.5% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$76.45 / $106.80
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: VAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$176.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.48
26.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $80.61, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.10 to $95.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.45, while resistance sits at $106.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $69.71. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.45, while resistance sits at $106.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $69.71. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$80.10 -
$95.60
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$80.10 -
$95.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$76.45
Resistance Level
$106.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.5% above Wall St target ($69.71)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.11
Wall Street Target
$69.71
(-13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.1%
Profit Margin
37.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.47
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$74.45
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$71.54
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$80.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 154.1%)
$446.22
(+454%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 154.1%)
$272.06
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 154.1%)
$231.25
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.27
Bull Case
$52.43
(-35%)
Analyst growth -40.9%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$47.66
(-41%)
Market implied -40.9%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$54.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$90.54
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VAL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits is filled with bullish sentiment towards $VAL, with one user expressing optimism about the stock's current price level.
Key Retail Themes:
Stock Twits users expressing optimism about $VAL's price level
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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