Valaris (VAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$78.39
-1.17 (-1.47%)
▼
5d:
-3.21%
30d:
-15.27%
90d:
+6.61%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$186.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.08
32.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $78.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.83 to $87.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VAL scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.43. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VAL scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.43. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$80.83 -
$87.44
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.0% above Wall St target ($67.43)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 27% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.83 -
$87.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.17
Resistance Level
$84.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.19
Wall Street Target
$67.43
(-14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.3%
Profit Margin
44.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.22
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$68.38
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$63.87
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$78.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 102.2%)
$482.45
(+516%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 102.2%)
$264.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 102.2%)
$224.88
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.44
Bull Case
$45.63
(-42%)
Analyst growth -47.9%, PE expands to 6.5
Base Case
$41.48
(-47%)
Market implied -47.9%, PE stable at 5.9
Bear Case
$54.10
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$96.00
(+22.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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