Valaris (VAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$97.33
5.14 (5.58%)
β²
5d:
+14.08%
30d:
+19.0%
90d:
+24.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VAL is 13.7% above its trading range ($85.58). Market expects 2.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VAL is 13.7% above its trading range ($85.58). Market expects 2.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$176.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.81
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $97.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.29 to $85.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $98.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: VAL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $69.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $98.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: VAL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $69.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.29 -
$85.58
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 29.1% above Wall St target ($69.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with -12.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.29 -
$85.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.22
Resistance Level
$98.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.58
Wall Street Target
$69.00
(-29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.3%
Profit Margin
44.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.57
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$101.86
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$104.20
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15β14)
PE COMPRESSION
$97.22
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 93.4%)
$447.56
(+360%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 93.4%)
$328.49
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 93.4%)
$279.22
(+187%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.33
Bull Case
$50.80
(-48%)
Analyst growth -49.9%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$46.18
(-53%)
Market implied -49.9%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$62.69
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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