VALN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VALN - Valneva SE American Depositary Shares
$5.58
-0.05 (-0.89%)
▼
5d:
-11.99%
30d:
+7.93%
90d:
-49.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VALN is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VALN is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.76
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.06
8.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VALN is currently trading at $5.58, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.42 to $6.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.4) compared to its historical average (6.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VALN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VALN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.20 (+118.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VALN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VALN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.20 (+118.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.42 -
$6.07
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 118.6% below Wall St target ($12.20)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.42 -
$6.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.55
Resistance Level
$6.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.37
Wall Street Target
$12.20
(+118.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-37.2%
Profit Margin
-88.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.4 vs 6.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.19
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$4.84
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$4.50
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$5.62
(+1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.4 to 6.7
Stabilization Target:
$6.97
(+24.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VALN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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