Valneva (VALN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VALN - Valneva SE American Depositary Shares
$5.74
-0.16 (-2.71%)
▼
5d:
-6.51%
30d:
-19.38%
90d:
+6.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026
Get Alerted When VALN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VALN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VALN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.50
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.90
2.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VALN is currently trading at $5.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.21 to $6.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (5.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VALN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.25 (+113.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VALN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.25 (+113.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.21 -
$6.83
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 113.4% below Wall St target ($12.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.21 -
$6.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.73
Resistance Level
$6.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.82
Wall Street Target
$12.25
(+113.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-27.7%
Profit Margin
-110.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 5.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.42
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$5.13
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$4.84
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$5.72
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 5.7
Stabilization Target:
$6.78
(+18.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VALN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Biotechnology Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Biotechnology by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BMRN
Biomarin Pharmaceutical … |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$92 | 46 HOLD |
|
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$109 | 76 BUY |
|
NRIX
Nurix Therapeutics Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$34 | 65 BUY |
|
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$285 | 42 HOLD |
|
INCY
Incyte Corporation |
HOLD
27 analysts |
$128 | 56 HOLD |
