INSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INSM - Insmed, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$125.77
0.69 (0.55%) ▲
5d: +1.64%
30d: +17.09%
90d: +14.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: INSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -14.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.22
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.66
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INSM is currently trading at $125.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.80 to $126.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 174.7) compared to its historical average (275.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INSM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $122.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: INSM scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $200.05 (+59.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $101.80 - $126.86
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 59.1% below Wall St target ($200.05)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $101.80 - $126.86
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $122.21
Resistance Level $135.50
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 174.70
Wall Street Target $200.05 (+59.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 296.1%
Profit Margin -76.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 174.7 vs 275.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $113.19 (-10%)
2-Year Target $101.87 (-19%)
3-Year Target $91.69 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 175→276) $144.58 (+15%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 174.7 to 275.5
Stabilization Target: $198.33 (+57.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +57.7%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William Lewis SELL 10699 shares 2026-04-16
William Lewis SELL 10699 shares 2026-04-06
Roger Adsett SELL 88060 shares 2026-04-01

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Advanced INSM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INSM price and gamma walls.

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