Insmed (INSM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INSM - Insmed, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$108.59
-5.55 (-4.86%) ▼
5d: -10.66%
30d: -10.63%
90d: -2.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 26d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.14
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INSM is currently trading at $108.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.33 to $126.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 140.2) compared to its historical average (248.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INSM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $108.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.74 (+82.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $117.33 - $126.45
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 82.1% below Wall St target ($197.74)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (41/100) — watch for confirmation
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.7%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $117.33 - $126.45
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $108.48
Resistance Level $124.48
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 140.15
Wall Street Target $197.74 (+82.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 296.1%
Profit Margin -76.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 140.2 vs 248.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $97.73 (-10%)
2-Year Target $87.96 (-19%)
3-Year Target $79.16 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 140→248) $140.19 (+29%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 140.2 to 248.2
Stabilization Target: $192.31 (+77.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +77.1%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William Lewis SELL 10699 shares 2026-04-16
William Lewis SELL 10699 shares 2026-04-06

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Advanced INSM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INSM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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