VFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VFC - V.F. Corporation
$16.88
0.11 (0.66%)
▲
5d:
+2.3%
30d:
+2.86%
90d:
-7.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VFC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VFC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.49
25.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VFC is currently trading at $16.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.43 to $17.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.0) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VFC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.14, while resistance sits at $18.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.21 (+19.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VFC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.14, while resistance sits at $18.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.21 (+19.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.43 -
$17.35
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.43 -
$17.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.15
Resistance Level
$18.07
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.97
Wall Street Target
$20.21
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.1%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.36
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$15.85
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$15.36
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$16.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$46.53
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 26.4%)
$34.12
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 26.4%)
$29.00
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$30.47
(+81%)
Analyst growth 65.2%, PE expands to 28.8
Base Case
$27.70
(+64%)
Market implied 65.2%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$11.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$18.60
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Juliana L Chugg
SELL
6678 shares
2026-02-10
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