VHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VHI - Valhi, Inc.
$13.44
-0.37 (-2.68%)
▼
5d:
-1.32%
30d:
-6.8%
90d:
-10.7%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.45
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $13.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.46 to $14.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.9) is in line with its historical norms (4.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VHI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VHI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.46 -
$14.30
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.7% above Wall St target ($12.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.46 -
$14.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.06
Resistance Level
$14.09
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.87
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(-10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.1%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.9 vs 4.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.29
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.15
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.00
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$13.43
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 4.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.88
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 3:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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