VHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VHI - Valhi, Inc.

INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
$16.79
0.11 (0.66%) ▲
5d: +3.58%
30d: +23.73%
90d: +32.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.45
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.08
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $16.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.52 to $16.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (4.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.63, while resistance sits at $17.40.

Market Sentiment: VHI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $13.52 - $16.25
Company Quality Score 28/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 19.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 28.1% above Wall St target ($12.00)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.1% growth expectation is conservative given 2500% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.52 - $16.25
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.63
Resistance Level $17.40
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.81
Wall Street Target $12.00 (-28.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2500.0%
Profit Margin -2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.1% premium
PE vs Historical 4.8 vs 4.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.70 (+6%)
2-Year Target $18.78 (+13%)
3-Year Target $19.92 (+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→4) PE COMPRESSION $16.58 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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