VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VINP - Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$9.91
0.12 (1.23%)
▲
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
+2.06%
90d:
-6.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VINP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.6% annual earnings decline despite 73% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VINP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.6% annual earnings decline despite 73% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.99
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.03
23.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $9.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.63 to $9.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (2.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.47, while resistance sits at $10.24.
Market Sentiment: VINP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.85 (+41.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.47, while resistance sits at $10.24.
Market Sentiment: VINP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.85 (+41.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.63 -
$9.95
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.4% below Wall St target ($13.85)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.63 -
$9.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.47
Resistance Level
$10.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.63
Wall Street Target
$13.85
(+41.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.3%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.6 vs 2.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.14
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$8.54
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$7.98
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$9.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$225.43
(+2203%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.6, Growth: 19.8%)
$16.84
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.4, Growth: 19.8%)
$14.31
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$22.01
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$20.01
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$6.80
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.6 to 2.0
Stabilization Target:
$12.04
(+22.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VINP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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2026-04-23
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