VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VINP - Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$9.92
0.06 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
+2.06%
30d:
+0.1%
90d:
-9.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VINP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VINP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.85
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.95
23.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $9.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.64 to $9.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (2.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VINP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.08 (+41.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VINP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.08 (+41.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.64 -
$9.92
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($14.08)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.64 -
$9.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.40
Resistance Level
$9.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.65
Wall Street Target
$14.08
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.3%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.7 vs 2.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.35
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$8.82
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$8.32
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$10.07
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 19.6%)
$213.11
(+2048%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.7, Growth: 19.6%)
$16.98
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.4, Growth: 19.6%)
$14.43
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$21.78
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$19.80
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$6.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.7 to 2.0
Stabilization Target:
$12.01
(+21.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VINP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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2026-04-23
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