VINP
Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares
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VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.75
-0.07 (-0.74%)
▼
5d:
+1.57%
30d:
-20.14%
90d:
-6.27%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
67/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.77 – $11.14
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
1.5x
CHEAP
vs 1.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.57
+42.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.40 / $9.30
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VINP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.81
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.06
20.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $8.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.77 to $11.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.5) compared to its historical average (1.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.40, while resistance sits at $9.30.
Market Sentiment: VINP scores 100/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.57 (+42.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.40, while resistance sits at $9.30.
Market Sentiment: VINP scores 100/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.57 (+42.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.77 -
$11.14
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.77 -
$11.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$8.40
Resistance Level
$9.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (100/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.7% below Wall St target ($12.57)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 100/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.48
Wall Street Target
$12.57
(+42.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.0%
Profit Margin
23.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.5 vs 1.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.16
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$7.55
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$7.00
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$8.95
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$180.82
(+1953%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.5, Growth: 15.3%)
$13.52
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$11.49
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$19.51
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 8.3
Base Case
$17.74
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 7.6
Bear Case
$6.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.5 to 1.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.28
(+28.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.0%
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Last updated: November 13, 2026 12:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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