VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VINP - Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$9.70
-0.12 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
-3.1%
30d:
-6.1%
90d:
-5.37%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VINP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.3% annual earnings decline despite 73% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VINP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.3% annual earnings decline despite 73% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.93
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.23
31.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $9.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.71 to $10.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (2.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.84 (+42.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.84 (+42.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.71 -
$10.18
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.7% below Wall St target ($13.84)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.71 -
$10.18
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.47
Resistance Level
$10.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.57
Wall Street Target
$13.84
(+42.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.3%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.6 vs 2.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.89
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$8.16
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$7.48
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$9.53
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.7%)
$248.62
(+2463%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.6, Growth: 22.7%)
$17.92
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 22.7%)
$15.23
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$21.47
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$19.52
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$6.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.6 to 2.0
Stabilization Target:
$12.36
(+27.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VINP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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