VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VINP - Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$9.45
0.15 (1.61%)
▲
5d:
+1.07%
30d:
-4.55%
90d:
-4.74%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VINP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VINP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.80
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.29
23.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $9.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.29 to $9.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (1.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.13, while resistance sits at $10.00.
Market Sentiment: VINP scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.97 (+47.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.13, while resistance sits at $10.00.
Market Sentiment: VINP scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.97 (+47.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.29 -
$9.66
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.8% below Wall St target ($13.97)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.29 -
$9.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.13
Resistance Level
$10.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.59
Wall Street Target
$13.97
(+47.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.0%
Profit Margin
23.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.6 vs 1.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.92
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$8.42
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$7.95
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$9.51
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.0%)
$209.65
(+2119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.6, Growth: 20.0%)
$16.32
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 20.0%)
$13.87
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$20.46
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$18.60
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$6.32
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.6 to 1.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.31
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VINP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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