VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VINP - Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$9.44
-0.11 (-1.15%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.16%
30d:
-1.15%
90d:
-2.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VINP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VINP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.67
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.59
18.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $9.44, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.40 to $9.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (1.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.48 (+53.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.48 (+53.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.40 -
$9.86
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.4% below Wall St target ($14.48)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.40 -
$9.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.26
Resistance Level
$10.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.56
Wall Street Target
$14.48
(+53.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.0%
Profit Margin
23.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.6 vs 1.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.82
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$8.24
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$7.69
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â2)
$9.36
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.6%)
$193.25
(+1947%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.6, Growth: 16.6%)
$14.96
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 16.6%)
$12.72
(+35%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$21.01
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$19.10
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$6.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.6 to 1.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.48
(+21.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VINP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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2026-04-23
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10178 shares
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SELL
11521 shares
2026-04-22
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