VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VINP - Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares
$11.49
0.03 (0.26%)
▲
5d:
+5.12%
30d:
+23.81%
90d:
+18.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VINP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VINP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.06
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.46
7.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $11.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.35 to $11.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.9) is in line with its historical norms (1.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VINP scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.20 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VINP scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.20 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.35 -
$11.17
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($14.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 16.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.35 -
$11.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.65
Resistance Level
$11.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.94
Wall Street Target
$14.20
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.0%
Profit Margin
23.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
1.9 vs 1.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.59
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$11.70
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$11.80
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.57
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.8%)
$207.30
(+1704%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.9, Growth: 20.8%)
$20.24
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.6, Growth: 20.8%)
$17.20
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$25.21
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$22.92
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$7.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 1:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VINP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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