VINP Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. Class A Common Shares Investment Advice Best Investment Advisory Stocks 2026 →

VINP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$8.75
-0.07 (-0.74%) ▼
5d: +1.57% 30d: -20.14% 90d: -6.27%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
67/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.77 – $11.14
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
1.5x CHEAP
vs 1.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.57
+42.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.40 / $9.30
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VINP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.81
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.06
20.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VINP is currently trading at $8.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.77 to $11.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.5) compared to its historical average (1.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VINP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.40, while resistance sits at $9.30.

Market Sentiment: VINP scores 100/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.57 (+42.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $8.77 - $11.14
Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $8.77 - $11.14
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $8.40
Resistance Level $9.30
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (100/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 42.7% below Wall St target ($12.57)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 100/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.48
Wall Street Target $12.57 (+42.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -32.0%
Profit Margin 23.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 1.5 vs 1.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.16 (-7%)
2-Year Target $7.55 (-14%)
3-Year Target $7.00 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 1→2) $8.95 (+2%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.3%) $180.82 (+1953%)
Base: (SPY PE: 1.5, Growth: 15.3%) $13.52 (+53%)
Bear: (PE: 1.3, Growth: 15.3%) $11.49 (+30%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case $19.51 (+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 8.3
Base Case $17.74 (+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 7.6
Bear Case $6.03 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.5 to 1.9
Stabilization Target: $11.28 (+28.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +28.0%
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Last updated: November 13, 2026 12:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 PM
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