VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$6.44
0.14 (2.22%)
▲
5d:
+2.55%
30d:
+47.71%
90d:
+154.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNCE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNCE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $6.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.17 to $7.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 18.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+39.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+39.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.17 -
$7.40
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.8% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 18.7% growth with 10.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.17 -
$7.40
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.11
Resistance Level
$4.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.12
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+39.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+18.7% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 12.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+18.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.64
(+19%)
2-Year Target
$9.07
(+41%)
3-Year Target
$10.77
(+67%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.3%)
$16.52
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 33.3%)
$15.27
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 33.3%)
$9.10
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case
$3.46
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$3.15
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$4.28
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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