VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$6.86
0.11 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
+36.93%
30d:
+63.33%
90d:
+213.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: VNCE is 14.9% above its trading range ($5.97). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: VNCE is 14.9% above its trading range ($5.97). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $6.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.91 to $5.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.4) compared to its historical average (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 25.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNCE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+31.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNCE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+31.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.91 -
$5.97
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 25.1% growth with 10.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.91 -
$5.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.11
Resistance Level
$4.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.44
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+25.1% premium
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 10.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+25.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.58
(+25%)
2-Year Target
$10.74
(+57%)
3-Year Target
$13.43
(+96%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.83
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.3%)
$16.52
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 33.3%)
$16.26
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 33.3%)
$8.27
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case
$3.71
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$3.38
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$4.59
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 7:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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