VNOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VNOM - Viper Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$45.27
0.24 (0.53%) ▲
5d: +7.05%
30d: +0.29%
90d: -3.58%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VNOM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.68
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.82
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VNOM is currently trading at $45.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.08 to $44.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (21.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 160.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: VNOM scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.84 (+23.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $42.08 - $44.62
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($55.84)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $42.08 - $44.62
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.86
Resistance Level $45.46
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.06
Wall Street Target $55.84 (+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 115.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 160.7%
Profit Margin 3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.1 vs 21.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $42.60 (-6%)
2-Year Target $40.09 (-12%)
3-Year Target $37.72 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→22) $45.32 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -1.6%) $47.88 (+6%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: -1.6%) $43.08 (-5%)
Bear: (PE: 15.4, Growth: -1.6%) $36.62 (-19%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 21.7
Stabilization Target: $54.40 (+20.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.2%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
August Pfluger BUY 2026-03-13

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