VREX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VREX - Varex Imaging Corporation Common Stock

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$18.51
0.02 (0.11%) ▲
5d: +0.11%
30d: +72.67%
90d: +82.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VREX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.62
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.28
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VREX is currently trading at $18.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.14 to $17.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VREX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VREX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.14 - $17.10
Company Quality Score 31/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 19.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.93)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 12.2% growth expectation is conservative given 453% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.14 - $17.10
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.37
Resistance Level $18.63
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.92
Wall Street Target $18.93 (+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 453.4%
Profit Margin 2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +12.2% premium
PE vs Historical 16.9 vs 12.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +12.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.77 (+12%)
2-Year Target $23.30 (+26%)
3-Year Target $26.14 (+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→12) PE COMPRESSION $18.54 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 23.2%) $41.06 (+122%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 23.2%) $34.61 (+87%)
Bear: (PE: 12.0, Growth: 23.2%) $24.55 (+33%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case $40.68 (+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.4
Base Case $36.98 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.9
Bear Case $12.57 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jay K Kunkel SELL 4510 shares 2026-03-20

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