Varex Imaging (VREX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VREX - Varex Imaging Corporation Common Stock

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$18.41
-0.01 (-0.05%) ▼
5d: -0.32%
30d: -0.22%
90d: +68.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VREX trades at premium valuation expecting 9.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.82
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VREX is currently trading at $18.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.42 to $18.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VREX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $18.42 - $18.49
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.90)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.9% growth expectation is conservative given 453% recent growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.42 - $18.49
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.35
Resistance Level $18.49
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.21
Wall Street Target $18.90 (+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 453.4%
Profit Margin 2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.9% premium
PE vs Historical 17.2 vs 13.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.23 (+10%)
2-Year Target $22.24 (+21%)
3-Year Target $24.44 (+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→13) PE COMPRESSION $18.46 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.4%) $43.92 (+139%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 27.4%) $38.05 (+107%)
Bear: (PE: 13.0, Growth: 27.4%) $28.75 (+56%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case $40.52 (+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case $36.84 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case $12.53 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
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NEUTRAL

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