VRNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRNS - Varonis Systems, Inc.
$35.03
2.32 (7.09%)
▲
5d:
+3.36%
30d:
+14.25%
90d:
+47.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
Get Alerted When VRNS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VRNS trades at premium valuation expecting 5.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: VRNS trades at premium valuation expecting 5.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRNS is currently trading at $35.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.58 to $34.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 91.7) compared to its historical average (77.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRNS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.48, while resistance sits at $40.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRNS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.48, while resistance sits at $40.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.58 -
$34.45
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VRNS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.32)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.58 -
$34.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.48
Resistance Level
$40.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
91.65
Wall Street Target
$36.32
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
-19.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
91.7 vs 77.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.10
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$39.29
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$41.60
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 92→77)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 91.7, Growth: 222.0%)
$118.23
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 222.0%)
$28.09
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 222.0%)
$23.88
(-32%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VRNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David Bass
BUY
2980 shares
2026-02-09
Avrohom J Kess
BUY
17800 shares
2026-02-06
John J Gavin Jr
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-06
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CYBR
CyberArk Software Ltd |
STRONG BUY
38 analysts |
$475 | 52 HOLD |
|
CFLT
Confluent Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$31 | 63 BUY |
|
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$96 | 45 HOLD |
|
GTLB
Gitlab Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$34 | 55 HOLD |
|
CRWD
Crowdstrike Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$712 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced VRNS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VRNS price and gamma walls.
