Varonis Systems (VRNS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$49.10
+0.14 (+0.29%)
▲
5d:
+0.29%
30d:
+5.89%
90d:
+17.1%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
62/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$47.91 – $49.35
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
115.3x
STRETCHED
vs 91.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$50.14
+2.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$48.70 / $49.12
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VRNS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRNS is currently trading at $49.10, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.91 to $49.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 115.3) compared to its historical average (91.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRNS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VRNS scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRNS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VRNS scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$47.91 -
$49.35
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$47.91 -
$49.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$48.70
Resistance Level
$49.12
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.14)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.9% growth which is achievable
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
115.31
Wall Street Target
$50.14
(+2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Profit Margin
-21.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.9% premium
PE vs Historical
115.3 vs 91.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.98
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$57.16
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$61.68
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 115→92)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 115.3, Growth: 78.6%)
$165.71
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 78.6%)
$28.54
(-42%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 78.6%)
$24.26
(-51%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VRNS)
Bearish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investors are bearish on $VRNS with 100.0% sentiment on StockTwits, as the stock is trading slightly above its most widely followed fair value estimate of $45.55 according to a Yahoo Finance news article. The article also mentions the upcoming earnings release and expansion of Varonis Atlas AI security coverage.
Key Retail Themes:
Upcoming earnings release
Expansion of Varonis Atlas AI security coverage
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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