What is the fair value of VRNS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for VRNS to be between $45.42 and $48.41. The current price is $48.88.

What is the analyst price target for VRNS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for VRNS is $51.32. This implies a potential upside of 5.0% from current levels.

Varonis Systems (VRNS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VRNS - Varonis Systems, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$48.88

-0.08 (-0.16%) ▼

5d: +3.01%

30d: +6.05%

90d: +9.77%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your VRNS Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 27, 2026 17d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 6, 2026 at $49.08 · last confirmed Oct 8, 2026

Strength: 6.7/10

Get Alerted When VRNS Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VRNS trades at premium valuation expecting 10.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$19.87

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$12.34

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VRNS is currently trading at $48.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.42 to $48.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 119.8) compared to its historical average (88.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VRNS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $45.42 - $48.41

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 45.2%

Protect Your Profits

Holding VRNS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.32)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.4% growth which is achievable
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $45.42 - $48.41

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $44.62

Resistance Level $49.67

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 119.75

Wall Street Target $51.32 (+5.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.3%

Profit Margin -20.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +10.4% premium

PE vs Historical 119.8 vs 88.9 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +10.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $53.96 (+10%)

2-Year Target $59.58 (+22%)

3-Year Target $65.77 (+35%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 120→89) PE COMPRESSION $48.83 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 119.7, Growth: 170.0%) $164.97 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 170.0%) $27.14 (-45%)

Bear: (PE: 16.7, Growth: 170.0%) $23.07 (-53%)

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: October 09, 2026 9:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is VRNS showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for VRNS.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
ORCL Oracle Corporation	STRONG BUY 43 analysts	$238	63 BUY
XYZ Block, Inc	STRONG BUY 49 analysts	$98	62 BUY
MSFT Microsoft Corporation	STRONG BUY 55 analysts	$579	34 SELL
MDB MongoDB	STRONG BUY 41 analysts	$447	49 HOLD
RBRK Rubrik, Inc.	STRONG BUY 28 analysts	$120	36 SELL

ORCL Oracle Corporation

63 BUY

XYZ Block, Inc

62 BUY

MSFT Microsoft Corpora…

Advanced VRNS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VRNS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for VRNS

VRNS Technical Chart VRNS Price Prediction VRNS Earnings Date VRNS Investment Advisor VRNS Fair Price Analyzer VRNS Options Advisor VRNS Options Chain VRNS Options Analysis VRNS Competitors

Compare VRNS with Peers

VRNS vs TENB
Which one to buy?

VRNS vs RPD
Which one to buy?

VRNS vs QLYS
Which one to buy?

VRNS vs QTWO
Which one to buy?

VRNS vs SAIL
Which one to buy?

ZETA vs VRNS
Winner: ZETA

ATEN vs VRNS

VRNS vs QLYS
Winner: QLYS

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie