WABC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WABC - Westamerica Bancorporation
$60.32
0.17 (0.28%)
▲
5d:
+0.5%
30d:
+1.36%
90d:
+9.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WABC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WABC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.23
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WABC is currently trading at $60.32, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.58 to $60.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$58.58 -
$60.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.58 -
$60.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.93
Resistance Level
$61.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.87
Wall Street Target
$64.00
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
43.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.63
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$61.12
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$61.61
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 86.3%)
$99.44
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 86.3%)
$61.72
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 86.3%)
$52.46
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.49
Bull Case
$68.61
(+14%)
Analyst growth 4.1%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$62.37
(+4%)
Market implied 4.1%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$40.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WABC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Inez Wondeh
BUY
61 shares
2026-04-22
Robert James Baker Jr
SELL
759 shares
2026-04-20
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