WABC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WABC - Westamerica Bancorporation
$58.47
0.12 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
-2.35%
30d:
-3.05%
90d:
+5.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WABC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WABC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.23
17.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WABC is currently trading at $58.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.92 to $60.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$58.92 -
$60.85
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.92 -
$60.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.29
Resistance Level
$60.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.51
Wall Street Target
$64.00
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
43.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.35
(0%)
2-Year Target
$58.24
(0%)
3-Year Target
$58.12
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$58.55
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 86.3%)
$96.28
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 86.3%)
$60.00
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 86.3%)
$51.00
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.55
Bull Case
$65.95
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.7%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$59.95
(+3%)
Market implied 2.7%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$39.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$58.90
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WABC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Inez Wondeh
BUY
61 shares
2026-04-22
Robert James Baker Jr
SELL
759 shares
2026-04-20
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