Westamerica Bancorporation (WABC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$59.60
-0.25 (-0.42%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.74%
30d:
+1.65%
90d:
-0.55%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$59.15 â $61.32
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.1x
FAIR
vs 12.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$65.00
+9.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$59.19 / $62.68
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WABC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.28
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WABC is currently trading at $59.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.15 to $61.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$59.15 -
$61.32
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$59.15 -
$61.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$59.19
Resistance Level
$62.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.06
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
43.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.77
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$57.94
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$57.13
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â13)
$59.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.3%)
$111.41
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 4.3%)
$67.68
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 4.3%)
$57.53
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.64
Bull Case
$70.09
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.5%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$63.72
(+7%)
Market implied 6.5%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$40.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$62.24
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WABC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Dec 27, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish Piercing Candlestick Pattern was identified in $WABC stocks on StockTwits, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Key Retail Themes:
Technical Analysis
Stock Reversal
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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