Westamerica Bancorporation (WABC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WABC - Westamerica Bancorporation
$59.09
-0.02 (-0.03%)
▼
5d:
+0.02%
30d:
-0.77%
90d:
+2.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WABC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: WABC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.23
17.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WABC is currently trading at $59.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.19 to $59.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WABC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$58.19 -
$59.59
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.19 -
$59.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.59
Resistance Level
$59.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.64
Wall Street Target
$64.00
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
43.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.21
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$59.33
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$59.45
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$59.26
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 86.3%)
$96.76
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 86.3%)
$60.63
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 86.3%)
$51.54
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.60
Bull Case
$66.08
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.6%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$60.07
(+2%)
Market implied 1.6%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$40.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WABC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Inez Wondeh
BUY
61 shares
2026-04-22
Robert James Baker Jr
SELL
759 shares
2026-04-20
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