WD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WD - Walker & Dunlop, Inc.
$49.69
0.62 (1.26%)
▲
5d:
+3.09%
30d:
-9.52%
90d:
-1.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.82
28.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WD is currently trading at $49.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.34 to $53.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 471.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.35, while resistance sits at $51.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.33 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.35, while resistance sits at $51.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.33 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$48.34 -
$53.06
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.2% below Wall St target ($67.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.34 -
$53.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.35
Resistance Level
$51.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.41
Wall Street Target
$67.33
(+37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
471.1%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 9.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.47
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$44.01
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$41.67
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$49.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 26.6%)
$246.20
(+402%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 26.6%)
$99.54
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 26.6%)
$84.61
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$111.12
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$101.02
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case
$34.35
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$57.74
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Dana L Schmaltz
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-18
Ernest Michael Freedman
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-05
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