WD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WD - Walker & Dunlop, Inc.
$40.22
0.04 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
-5.5%
30d:
-14.08%
90d:
-20.4%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.63
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.51
30.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WD is currently trading at $40.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.50 to $50.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WD scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.00 (+54.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WD scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.00 (+54.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.50 -
$50.50
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.3% below Wall St target ($62.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.50 -
$50.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.45
Resistance Level
$44.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.16
Wall Street Target
$62.00
(+54.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.9%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.20
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$32.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$29.39
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$40.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.2%)
$185.82
(+363%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 18.2%)
$66.28
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 18.2%)
$56.34
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$91.43
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$83.12
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$28.26
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$55.00
(+36.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Dana L Schmaltz
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-18
Ernest Michael Freedman
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-05
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