Walker & Dunlop (WD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$39.97
-1.52 (-3.66%)
▼
5d:
+13.65%
30d:
+23.78%
90d:
-5.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (19%)
Quality Score
28/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$32.28 – $37.36
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.0x
CHEAP
vs 9.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$49.33
+23.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$33.64 / $41.71
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When WD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.68
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.75
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WD is currently trading at $39.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.28 to $37.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.64, while resistance sits at $41.71. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: WD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.33 (+23.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.64, while resistance sits at $41.71. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: WD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.33 (+23.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.28 -
$37.36
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$32.28 -
$37.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$33.64
Resistance Level
$41.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($49.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.03
Wall Street Target
$49.33
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.9%
Profit Margin
-2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.45
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$36.99
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$35.58
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$39.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.1%)
$158.75
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 17.1%)
$64.16
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$54.53
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.12
Bull Case
$84.35
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.7
Base Case
$76.68
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$26.07
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$44.82
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share WD Analysis
Share this live WD analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user expresses excitement about dips in $DRAM, $MU, $WD, and $SNDK being bought up.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment towards specific tech stocks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is WD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Mortgage Finance Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Mortgage Finance by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RKT
Rocket Companies Inc |
BUY
16 analysts |
$15 | 34 SELL |
|
BETR
Better Home & Finance Ho… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$23 | 30 SELL |
|
UWMC
UWM Holdings Corp |
SELL
9 analysts |
$2 | 41 HOLD |
|
PFSI
PennyMac Finl Svcs Inc |
SELL
7 analysts |
$72 | 40 SELL |
|
LDI
Loandepot Inc |
SELL
6 analysts |
$1 | 51 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive WD Research Pages
