Walker & Dunlop (WD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WD - Walker & Dunlop, Inc.
$32.89
-0.54 (-1.62%)
▼
5d:
+2.62%
30d:
-14.17%
90d:
-29.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.84
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.30
38.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WD is currently trading at $32.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.77 to $38.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.40, while resistance sits at $34.70.
Market Sentiment: WD scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.33 (+47.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.40, while resistance sits at $34.70.
Market Sentiment: WD scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.33 (+47.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$32.77 -
$38.08
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (86/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.0% below Wall St target ($48.33)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 86/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.77 -
$38.08
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.40
Resistance Level
$34.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.28
Wall Street Target
$48.33
(+47.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.9%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 9.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$26.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$23.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$35.13
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.8%)
$183.45
(+458%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 20.8%)
$58.01
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 20.8%)
$49.30
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.18
Bull Case
$73.55
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$66.86
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.3
Bear Case
$22.73
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$48.18
(+46.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 9:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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