Walker & Dunlop (WD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WD - Walker & Dunlop, Inc.
$40.53
0.20 (0.50%)
â˛
5d:
-2.81%
30d:
-4.21%
90d:
-22.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.53
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.35
25.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WD is currently trading at $40.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.07 to $45.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+41.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+41.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$39.07 -
$45.89
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.3% below Wall St target ($57.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.07 -
$45.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.94
Resistance Level
$43.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.11
Wall Street Target
$57.00
(+41.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.9%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 9.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$32.96
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$29.79
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â10)
$40.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.1%)
$179.02
(+344%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 16.1%)
$63.13
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$53.66
(+33%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$91.01
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.4
Base Case
$82.74
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.6
Bear Case
$28.13
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$54.43
(+35.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Dana L Schmaltz
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-18
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