Walker & Dunlop (WD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WD - Walker & Dunlop, Inc.
$34.53
-0.58 (-1.65%)
▼
5d:
-7.45%
30d:
-14.25%
90d:
-36.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.71
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.22
35.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WD is currently trading at $34.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.25 to $41.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.1) compared to its historical average (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+65.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+65.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.25 -
$41.29
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.1% below Wall St target ($57.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.25 -
$41.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.59
Resistance Level
$38.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.09
Wall Street Target
$57.00
(+65.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.9%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 9.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.08
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$27.97
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$25.17
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$38.85
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.1%)
$181.06
(+424%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 16.1%)
$54.05
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 16.1%)
$45.94
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.12
Bull Case
$77.24
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$70.22
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$23.87
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$53.30
(+54.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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