WY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WY - Weyerhaeuser Company
$25.45
1.01 (4.13%)
▲
5d:
+2.66%
30d:
+7.57%
90d:
+8.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $25.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.63 to $24.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.1) compared to its historical average (53.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 96.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: WY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.18 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: WY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.18 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.63 -
$24.79
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.6% below Wall St target ($31.18)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.63 -
$24.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.60
Resistance Level
$25.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.06
Wall Street Target
$31.18
(+27.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.6%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.1 vs 53.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.82
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→54)
$27.39
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.1, Growth: 115.7%)
$82.49
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 115.7%)
$51.23
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 115.7%)
$43.55
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.56
Bull Case
$33.20
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 47.6
Base Case
$30.18
(+24%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 43.3
Bear Case
$16.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.1 to 53.9
Stabilization Target:
$37.57
(+53.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
James Calvin O'rourke
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-20
Richard Beckwitt
BUY
20000 shares
2026-02-19
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