ARI

APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCE, INC.
Data: 2026-10-01
Analyzing positioning… Options positioning — based on yesterday's biggest open-interest changes See the chart Institutional flows
Track record
signal day → next-day price move
Quick Stats
Oct 01, 2026

47.2

AI Score

HOLD

1.93

Volume Ratio

Oct 29, 2026

Next Earnings

8

+ve Days (30d)

20

-ve Days (30d)

ARI Price vs Max Options Open Interest

How to read this: the line is the stock price; the bars show where the most option open interest sits each day. Strikes with heavy open interest often act as magnets or barriers for price ("max pain" zones). Scroll right for the most recent days.

ARI Max Change In Options Open Interest

How to read this: each bar is the option contract whose open interest changed the most yesterday. Green bars = new positions being opened (conviction building at that strike); red bars = positions being closed. Call builds above the current price suggest upside bets; put builds below it suggest hedging or downside bets.

ARI Options - Sort by Max open Interest (near term)

1st October 2026 (Data is delayed in normal mkt. hours)

Type Expiration Strike OI Change in
OI
Volume Ask PC Delta Vega Volatility % change Track

ARI Daily Out of Money Options - Sort by Max open Interest (near term)

1st October 2026 (Data is delayed in normal mkt. hours)

Type Expiration Strike OI Change in
OI
Volume Ask PC Delta Vega Volatility % change Track

ARI Daily In the Money Options - Sort by Max open Interest (near term)

1st October 2026 (Data is delayed in normal mkt. hours)

Type Expiration Strike OI Change in
OI
Volume Ask PC Delta Vega Volatility % change Track

ARI Most Active Options by Volume(near term)

1st October 2026 (Data is delayed in normal mkt. hours)

Type Expiration Strike Volume OI Change in
OI
Ask PC Delta Vega Volatility % change Track
ARI Technical Chart Pro Chart
  • Candlesticks: Green = price up, Red = price down. Body shows open/close, wicks show high/low.
  • SMAs: Moving averages help identify trends. Price above SMA = bullish, below = bearish.
  • Options OI: Shows max open interest strikes. High OI = significant price levels.
  • Volume Profile: Shows price levels with most trading activity. POC = Point of Control (highest volume).
  • Earnings: Vertical lines mark earnings dates. Watch for volatility around these dates.
  • Gamma Walls: Key support/resistance from options gamma exposure. Orange = resistance above, Purple = support below.
  • Fibonacci Retracement: Auto-calculated support/resistance levels based on recent high/low. Key levels: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%.
  • Unusual Activity: Highlights days with abnormal volume (2x+ average) or large price moves (5%+). Red marker = unusual activity detected.
Technical Indicators
Select an indicator above — it will be added as a pane under the price chart with aligned dates.

Volume Profile Analysis

Horizontal histogram showing volume distribution at each price level with buying/selling pressure

ARI Stock Summary

Last updated Oct 01, 2026

ARI is currently trading at $6.28, positioned below its 200-day moving average of $9.51, suggesting bearish momentum. The stock has a 52-week range of $6.13 to $11.24.

Technical Analysis: The 50-day moving average stands at $6.67, which is above the current price, indicating bearish near-term pressure. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) reads 27.37, suggesting the stock is oversold and potentially undervalued.

Money Flow Indicators: The Chaikin Money Flow (20-day) is -0.269, which is negative, suggesting distribution or selling pressure. Our AI-powered investment score rates ARI at 47.2/100 with a HOLD recommendation.

ARI (APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCE, INC.) Indicators

Last updated Oct 01, 2026

Indicator Value
RSI(14) 27.37
CMF (20) -0.269
ROC (10) -3.023
ADX (14) 58.021
Indicator Value
MACD (12,26,9) -0.223
AROONOSC (14) -100.0
WILLAMS %R (14) -75.0
MFI (14) 30.285

ARI Candlestick Patterns

Validated patterns fired in the last 10 sessions. Hit rate = how often price moved in the signal's direction within 5 trading days (backtest: 2.7M signals, 3,500 liquid stocks, Feb 2025–Sep 2026). Baseline: a random stock closes higher 5 days later 53% of the time. Click a row to see the candle on the chart.

Date Pattern Signal 5-Day Hit Rate Edge vs Baseline Sample
Sep 30 Marubozu (bearish) (contrarian — textbook says the opposite) Bullish 56.2% +3.2 pts 30540

These are statistical tilts, not standalone trade setups. Only patterns with a measured edge are shown — roughly 50 of 60 textbook patterns showed no edge and are hidden.

APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCE, INC. is below both the 50 Day and 200 Day SMA which is considered Bearish.

ARI Moving Averages Analysis

ARI (APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCE, INC.) Simple Moving Averages

Moving Averages are last updated Oct 01, 2026

Days MA
10 6.29
20 6.48
30 6.61
50 6.67
100 8.52
200 9.51

ARI Fundamental Analysis

P/E (Forward) 15.528
P/E (Trailing) 7.75
Market Cap ($) 797.0 million
Earnings/Share ($) 0.8
Net Profit Margin (%) 0.2114
Dividend/Share ($) 1
EPS Estimate Current Year ($) -0.7367
EPS Estimate Next Year ($) 0.227
WallStreet Target Price ($) 8.00
Most Recent Quarter

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is a real estate investment trust that primarily originates, invests in, acquires, and manages commercial first-mortgage loans, subordinate financings, commercial mortgage-backed securities, and other real estate-related debt investments. The subordinate loans and first-mortgage loans account for the vast majority of the portfolio on a cost basis. Property types include residential, retail, healthcare, office, mixed-use, hotel, industrial, multifamily, securities, and other, with residential properties and hotels representing the highest property value. More than a third of the properties are located in New York City, with the other properties located across other regions of the United States, as well as other countries.