ABM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABM - ABM Industries, Inc.
$46.81
-0.29 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
-2.74%
30d:
-1.12%
90d:
+16.67%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ABM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.92
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $46.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.15 to $48.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.43 (+12.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.43 (+12.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.15 -
$48.69
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.15 -
$48.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.38
Resistance Level
$49.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.75
Wall Street Target
$52.43
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.84
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$48.89
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$49.97
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.5%)
$114.73
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 9.5%)
$61.44
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 9.5%)
$52.23
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.60
Bull Case
$86.78
(+85%)
Analyst growth 67.5%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$78.89
(+69%)
Market implied 67.5%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$32.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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