BAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BAH - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
$63.94
0.61 (0.96%)
▲
5d:
-14.23%
30d:
-16.25%
90d:
-19.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
30d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BAH is down 14.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BAH is down 14.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.29
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BAH is currently trading at $63.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.20 to $81.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.77 (+48.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.77 (+48.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$71.20 -
$81.39
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BAH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.1% below Wall St target ($93.77)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.20 -
$81.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.59
Resistance Level
$80.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.13
Wall Street Target
$93.77
(+48.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.26
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$53.60
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$49.31
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$63.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 2.9%)
$148.29
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$68.97
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 2.9%)
$58.62
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.90
Bull Case
$66.14
(+4%)
Analyst growth -9.4%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$60.13
(-5%)
Market implied -9.4%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$45.12
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$81.27
(+28.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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