ACHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACHC - Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.
$24.54
-0.67 (-2.66%)
▼
5d:
-1.8%
30d:
+6.6%
90d:
+5.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
Get Alerted When ACHC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.84
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACHC is currently trading at $24.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.62 to $25.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.43, while resistance sits at $26.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.86 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.43, while resistance sits at $26.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.86 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$23.62 -
$25.29
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.1% growth with 7.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.62 -
$25.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.43
Resistance Level
$26.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.41
Wall Street Target
$28.86
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.6%
Profit Margin
-32.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 11.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.00
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$28.92
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$30.97
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$59.54
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 16.0%)
$39.40
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 16.0%)
$31.98
(+27%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ACHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Medical Care Facilities Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Care Facilities by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
THC
Tenet Healthcare Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$244 | 57 HOLD |
|
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc. |
BUY
25 analysts |
$504 | 58 HOLD |
|
EHC
Encompass Health Corp |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$141 | 53 HOLD |
|
CMPS
Compass Pathways Plc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$22 | 53 HOLD |
|
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporati… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$133 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced ACHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACHC price and gamma walls.
