ACHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACHC - Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.
$27.82
0.85 (3.15%)
▲
5d:
-9.76%
30d:
-18.2%
90d:
+20.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACHC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACHC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.50
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACHC is currently trading at $27.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.03 to $33.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.62, while resistance sits at $32.35. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.39 (+20.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACHC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.62, while resistance sits at $32.35. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.39 (+20.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.03 -
$33.75
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACHC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.39)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.4% growth with -0.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.03 -
$33.75
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.62
Resistance Level
$32.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.27
Wall Street Target
$33.39
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-63.6%
Profit Margin
-33.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 13.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.32
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$30.91
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$32.57
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.95
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.4%)
$59.11
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 17.4%)
$44.97
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 17.4%)
$38.22
(+37%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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ACHC is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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Advanced ACHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACHC price and gamma walls.
